Commodities
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
Commodities22.2%
flat53d
manifold
ResearchCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Commodities92.3%
flat111d
manifold
ResearchWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Commodities7.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill Rio Tinto or BHP have approved construction of the Resolution Copper mine as of December 31, 2028?
Commodities32.0%
flat782d
manifold
ResearchWill the seaborne lithium carbonate price be above $18,000/t on June 30, 2027?
Commodities46.7%
flat233d
manifold
ResearchWill the uranium spot price be above $90.90/lb on February 28, 2027?
Commodities50.0%
flat111d
manifold
ResearchWill China's 2026 refined copper output fall more than 10% below 2025?
Commodities32.8%
flat83d
manifold
ResearchWill Zimbabwe formally lift its lithium ore export ban by June 30, 2027?
Commodities39.8%
flat233d
manifold
ResearchWill China announce new export controls on lithium supply-chain items by March 31, 2027?
Commodities31.0%
flat141d
manifold
ResearchWill Freeport Indonesia be allowed to export copper concentrate on March 31, 2027?
Commodities22.0%
flat142d
manifold
ResearchWill the price of silver metal (SI=F) close above $50/ounce at the end of November?
Commodities62.8%
flat21d
manifold
ResearchWill Nate Silver be right about the House? [231-251 seats]
Commodities59.6%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchWill Keith Rabois win his (not actual) bet against Nate Silver?
Commodities17.6%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchWill gold (XAU/USD) close higher on Monday, November 2, 2026 than on Friday, October 30, 2026?
Commodities50.0%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
Commodities99.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill gold (XAU/USD) close higher on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 than on Tuesday, October 27, 2026?
Commodities24.3%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Commodities12.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Commodities53.0%
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $107.50 on October 26, 2026?
Commodities29.7%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?
Commodities76.8%
flat52d
manifold
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?
Commodities6.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Commodities7.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
Commodities40.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?
Commodities0.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Commodities6.5%
flat51d
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Commodities99.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $99.50 on October 8, 2026?
Commodities42.9%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
Commodities31.5%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Colossal Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Commodities0.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: JSK Esports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
Research Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Commodities9.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Commodities0.8%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: HMBLE vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
Commodities0.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $102 on September 24, 2026?
Commodities2.7%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchWill a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Commodities12.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
Commodities3.6%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Commodities5.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
Commodities13.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Commodities5.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Supreme Court decide that sports event contracts are protected under the Commodities Exchange Act? [1k subsidy]
Commodities34.0%
flat1513d
manifold
ResearchWill the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st?
Commodities18.2%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
Commodities1.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Commodities49.2%
flat1515d
manifold
ResearchWill the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $83 on September 10, 2026?
Commodities93.8%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchUFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winner
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
Commodities0.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
Commodities0.4%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 4 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 3 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 4 Winner
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winner
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchLoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner
Commodities0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Commodities100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?
Commodities0.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
Commodities2.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?
Commodities53.0%
flat1514d
manifold
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.2% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
92.3% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 111d | |
7.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
32.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 782d | |
46.7% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 233d | |
50.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 111d | |
32.8% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 83d | |
39.8% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 233d | |
31.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 141d | |
22.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
62.8% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
59.6% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
17.6% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
50.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
24.3% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
12.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
53.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
29.7% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
76.8% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
6.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
7.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
40.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
6.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 51d | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
42.9% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
31.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
9.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
0.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
2.7% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
12.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
3.6% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
5.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
13.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
5.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
34.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1513d | |
18.2% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
49.2% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1515d | |
93.8% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
2.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
53.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1514d |