Movers

Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?

Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?

Will T1 win Worlds 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October?

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October?

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%?

Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Iran leadership change by November 30?

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be less than -0.2%?

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?

Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Will there be a serious attempt by the GOP to overturn the election?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?

Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in October?

Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

US recession in 2026?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Generation Starship By 2150

Q-Day before 2030?

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?