Economics & Fed

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?
Economics & Fed
1.7%
Single
flat8d
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
Economics & Fed
38.3%
Single
▼ -4.9 pts53d
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
Economics & Fed
40.0%
Single
▼ -1.5 pts23d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Economics & Fed
6.8%
Single
▲ +0.4 pts96d
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October?
Economics & Fed
15.3%
Single
flat5d
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Economics & Fed
36.5%
Single
flat1169d
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Economics & Fed
27.9%
Single
flat419d
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Economics & Fed
47.6%
Single
▼ -7.0 pts73d
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Economics & Fed
96.2%
Single
flat83d
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
▼ -0.6 pts46h
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat84d
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
1.6%
Single
▼ -1.9 pts84d
Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?
Economics & Fed
38.3%
Single
flat418d
US recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed
4.2%
Single
flat53d
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Economics & Fed
62.1%
Single
flat1514d
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
Economics & Fed
64.1%
Single
flat—
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
10.5%
Single
▼ -0.5 pts53d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
1.8%
Single
▲ +0.7 pts129d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
73.5%
Single
flat80d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
21.5%
Single
flat31d
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Economics & Fed
52.0%
Single
▼ -1.5 pts84d
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Economics & Fed
90.3%
Single
▲ +19.4 pts63d
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
▼ -0.1 pts84d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Economics & Fed
25.1%
Single
▼ -1.1 pts7d
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Economics & Fed
46.0%
Single
flat84d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
16.0%
Single
▲ +0.5 pts171d
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
Economics & Fed
7.5%
Single
▼ -29.0 pts63d
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?
Economics & Fed
43.0%
Single
▼ -3.0 pts46h
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?
Economics & Fed
45.5%
Single
flat9d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Economics & Fed
88.7%
Single
flat95d
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat38d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
76.5%
Single
flat31d
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?
Economics & Fed
42.6%
Single
▲ +7.4 pts23d
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
▼ -0.7 pts39d
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October?
Economics & Fed
15.8%
Single
flat16d
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
31.1%
Single
▼ -15.2 pts67d
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Economics & Fed
17.9%
Single
▲ +9.0 pts73d
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.8%
Single
▼ -0.5 pts46h
Japan recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed
7.0%
Single
▼ -2.0 pts173d
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Economics & Fed
87.5%
Single
▼ -3.1 pts53d
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?
Economics & Fed
1.4%
Single
▼ -1.4 pts46h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?
Economics & Fed
4.7%
Single
▼ -4.7 pts46h
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
6.5%
Single
▲ +2.0 pts39d
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?
Economics & Fed
53.5%
Single
▼ -2.0 pts21d
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
Economics & Fed
19.5%
Single
flat21d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
1.4%
Single
▲ +0.1 pts80d
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be less than -0.2%?
Economics & Fed
15.0%
Single
—
flat21d
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?
Economics & Fed
30.0%
Single
▼ -0.5 pts5d
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Economics & Fed
2.9%
Single
—
flat88d
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?
Economics & Fed
47.0%
Single
▲ +1.5 pts46h
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Economics & Fed
76.3%
Single
▼ -0.2 pts52d
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat39d
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat46h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.8%
Single
▼ -0.1 pts80d
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?
Economics & Fed
9.0%
Single
flat46h
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economics & Fed
75.5%
Single
▼ -1.0 pts31d
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Economics & Fed
78.5%
Single
▲ +14.0 pts22d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
4.0%
Single
flat80d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
Economics & Fed
1.8%
Single
flat95d
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed
2.1%
Single
▼ -0.1 pts52d
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
Economics & Fed
29.5%
Single
▲ +0.4 pts84d
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed
1.7%
Single
▼ -0.5 ptsClosed
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
37.9%
Single
▼ -0.1 pts75d
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed
1.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
18.5%
Single
flat80d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
5.5%
Single
flat129d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.5%
Single
flat31d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.5%
Single
flat31d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
9.0%
Single
flat171d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
5.5%
Single
flat53d
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
45.1%
Single
flat73d
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
16.0%
Single
flat38d
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?
Economics & Fed
2.3%
Single
flat46h
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
53.5%
Single
flat129d
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
49.0%
Single
flat39d
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
1.5%
Single
flat129d
Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat46h
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Economics & Fed
69.0%
Single
flat84d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
34.0%
Single
flat129d
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat84d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
Economics & Fed
17.5%
Single
flat7d
Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat46h
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed
4.1%
Single
flatClosed
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
99.9%
Single
flatClosed
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat84d
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
51.2%
Single
flat73d
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
86.5%
Single
flat38d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.4%
Single
flat31d
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed
2.4%
Single
flat83d
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Economics & Fed
46.5%
Single
flat4d
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
2.1%
Single
flat53d
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?
Economics & Fed
29.0%
Single
flat4d
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Economics & Fed
17.5%
Single
flat71d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed
97.8%
Single
flat53d
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.2%
Single
flat46h
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?
Economics & Fed
87.5%
Single
flat46h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
56.5%
Single
flat171d
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat81d
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
78.5%
Single
flat39d
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.9%
Single
flatClosed
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Economics & Fed
0.9%
Single
flat96d
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
16.8%
Single
flat67d
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Economics & Fed
3.5%
Single
flat17h
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.5% and 4.0%?
Economics & Fed
10.5%
Single
—
flat81d
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?
Economics & Fed
2.9%
Single
flat4d
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flatClosed
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
98.9%
Single
flatClosed
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
Economics & Fed
8.0%
Single
flat4d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?
Economics & Fed
6.9%
Single
flat8d
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
Economics & Fed
22.4%
Single
flat61d
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Economics & Fed
61.0%
Single
flat88d
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat84d
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?
Economics & Fed
2.3%
Single
flat23d
Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
Economics & Fed
42.5%
Single
—
flat130d
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?
Economics & Fed
7.0%
Single
flat81d
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?
Economics & Fed
6.0%
Single
flat46h
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Economics & Fed
18.0%
Single
flat81d
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.4%
Single
flat46h
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
81.0%
Single
flatClosed
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
Economics & Fed
0.2%
Single
flat83d
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
Economics & Fed
3.7%
Single
flat130d
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
17.0%
Single
flat40d
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed
1.5%
Single
flat52d
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed
1.5%
Single
flat52d
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?
Economics & Fed
12.5%
Single
flat5d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat95d
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
3.9%
Single
flat40d
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Economics & Fed
25.5%
Single
flat17h
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.9%
Single
flat39d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%?
Economics & Fed
15.3%
Single
flat8d
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Economics & Fed
28.5%
Single
flatClosed
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
Economics & Fed
0.8%
Single
flat95d
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Economics & Fed
2.5%
Single
flat84d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat95d
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Economics & Fed
90.5%
Single
flat46h
Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?
Economics & Fed
20.5%
Single
—
flat5d
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
—
flat46h
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Economics & Fed
41.8%
Single
flat70d
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?
Economics & Fed
0.6%
Single
flat4d
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Economics & Fed
12.5%
Single
flat81d
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat75d
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?
Economics & Fed
3.9%
Single
flat46h
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?
Economics & Fed
0.4%
Single
flat53d
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Economics & Fed
8.9%
Single
flat53d
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?
Economics & Fed
46.9%
Single
flat53d