Economics & Fed
Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat21d
manifold
ResearchWill Polymarket IPO before 2028?
Economics & Fed—
flat463d
manifold
ResearchUS recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat98d
manifold
ResearchWill Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Economics & Fed—
flat1559d
manifold
ResearchWorld gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
Economics & Fed—
flat—
manifold
ResearchWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat98d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat125d
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat76d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat34d
polymarket
ResearchWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Economics & Fed—
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manifold
ResearchBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Economics & Fed—
flat464d
manifold
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat125d
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat2h
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 closes at 9000 before 2028?
Economics & Fed—
flat463d
manifold
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Economics & Fed—
flat26d
polymarket
ResearchWill world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat112d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Economics & Fed—
flat52d
polymarket
ResearchWill South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Economics & Fed—
flat33d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Economics & Fed—
flat141d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat188d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.8% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat2h
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat2h
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat34d
polymarketmanifold
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
Economics & Fed—
flat49d
polymarket
ResearchUK Recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat218d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Economics & Fed—
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Economics & Fed—
flat116d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?
Economics & Fed—
flat6d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat34d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat34d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.5% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.7% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat76d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat34d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.6% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.4% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Economics & Fed—
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat2h
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat125d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat126d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat118d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat76d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat52d
polymarket
ResearchWill the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Economics & Fed—
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
Economics & Fed—
flat6d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat126d
polymarket
ResearchWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Economics & Fed—
flat140d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat48d
polymarket
ResearchWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Economics & Fed—
flat19d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat120d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Economics & Fed—
flat117d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
Economics & Fed—
flat140d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
Economics & Fed—
flat140d
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
manifold
ResearchAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat98d
manifold
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Economics & Fed—
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat125d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchGuangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov
Economics & Fed—
flat2d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat76d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Economics & Fed—
flat25d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?
Economics & Fed—
flat48d
polymarket
ResearchWill PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?
Economics & Fed—
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchWill world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat112d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Economics & Fed—
flat105d
polymarket
ResearchWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Economics & Fed—
flat117d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat279d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat125d
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat279d
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
Economics & Fed—
flat5d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?
Economics & Fed—
flat6d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Economics & Fed—
flat36d
manifold
ResearchBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat2h
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Economics & Fed—
flat107d
polymarket
ResearchGuangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov
Economics & Fed—
flat10h
polymarket
ResearchWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?
Economics & Fed—
flat35d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat42d
polymarket
ResearchWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat98d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchUS recession by end of 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat128d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat13d
polymarket
ResearchFed rate hike in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat75d
polymarket
ResearchFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat75d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat75d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed—
flat97d
polymarket
ResearchGuangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat84d
polymarket
Research