Economics & Fed
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?
Economics & Fed1.7%
flat8d
polymarket
ResearchWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
Economics & Fed38.3%
▼ -4.9 pts53d
polymarket
ResearchWill Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
Economics & Fed40.0%
▼ -1.5 pts23d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Economics & Fed6.8%
▲ +0.4 pts96d
polymarket
ResearchWill PPI YoY be 6.4% in October?
Economics & Fed15.3%
flat5d
polymarket
ResearchWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Economics & Fed36.5%
flat1169d
manifold
ResearchBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Economics & Fed27.9%
flat419d
manifold
ResearchWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Economics & Fed47.6%
▼ -7.0 pts73d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Economics & Fed96.2%
flat83d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.5% in October?
Economics & Fed0.3%
▼ -0.6 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed1.6%
▼ -1.9 pts84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Polymarket IPO before 2028?
Economics & Fed38.3%
flat418d
manifold
ResearchUS recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed4.2%
flat53d
manifold
ResearchWill Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Economics & Fed62.1%
flat1514d
manifold
ResearchWorld gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
Economics & Fed64.1%
flat—
manifold
ResearchWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed10.5%
▼ -0.5 pts53d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed1.8%
▲ +0.7 pts129d
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed73.5%
flat80d
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed21.5%
flat31d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Economics & Fed52.0%
▼ -1.5 pts84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Economics & Fed90.3%
▲ +19.4 pts63d
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
▼ -0.1 pts84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Economics & Fed25.1%
▼ -1.1 pts7d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Economics & Fed46.0%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed16.0%
▲ +0.5 pts171d
polymarket
ResearchWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
Economics & Fed7.5%
▼ -29.0 pts63d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?
Economics & Fed43.0%
▼ -3.0 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?
Economics & Fed45.5%
flat9d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Economics & Fed88.7%
flat95d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat38d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed76.5%
flat31d
polymarket
ResearchWill Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?
Economics & Fed42.6%
▲ +7.4 pts23d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
▼ -0.7 pts39d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October?
Economics & Fed15.8%
flat16d
polymarket
ResearchWill world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Economics & Fed31.1%
▼ -15.2 pts67d
polymarket
ResearchWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Economics & Fed17.9%
▲ +9.0 pts73d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 4.0% in October?
Economics & Fed0.8%
▼ -0.5 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchJapan recession in 2026?
Economics & Fed7.0%
▼ -2.0 pts173d
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Economics & Fed87.5%
▼ -3.1 pts53d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.9% in October?
Economics & Fed1.4%
▼ -1.4 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.8% in October?
Economics & Fed4.7%
▼ -4.7 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed6.5%
▲ +2.0 pts39d
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?
Economics & Fed53.5%
▼ -2.0 pts21d
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
Economics & Fed19.5%
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed1.4%
▲ +0.1 pts80d
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be less than -0.2%?
Economics & Fed15.0%
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchWill PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?
Economics & Fed30.0%
▼ -0.5 pts5d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Economics & Fed2.9%
flat88d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?
Economics & Fed47.0%
▲ +1.5 pts46h
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Economics & Fed76.3%
▼ -0.2 pts52d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat39d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.3% in October?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.8%
▼ -0.1 pts80d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?
Economics & Fed9.0%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economics & Fed75.5%
▼ -1.0 pts31d
polymarket
ResearchWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Economics & Fed78.5%
▲ +14.0 pts22d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed4.0%
flat80d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
Economics & Fed1.8%
flat95d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed2.1%
▼ -0.1 pts52d
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
Economics & Fed29.5%
▲ +0.4 pts84d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed1.7%
▼ -0.5 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
Economics & Fed37.9%
▼ -0.1 pts75d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed1.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed18.5%
flat80d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed5.5%
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.5%
flat31d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.5%
flat31d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed9.0%
flat171d
polymarket
ResearchWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed5.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed45.1%
flat73d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed16.0%
flat38d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.6% in October?
Economics & Fed2.3%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed53.5%
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed49.0%
flat39d
polymarket
ResearchWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed1.5%
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Economics & Fed69.0%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed34.0%
flat129d
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
Economics & Fed17.5%
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Economics & Fed4.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed99.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Economics & Fed51.2%
flat73d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed86.5%
flat38d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.4%
flat31d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed2.4%
flat83d
polymarket
ResearchWill Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Economics & Fed46.5%
flat4d
polymarket
ResearchWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Economics & Fed2.1%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?
Economics & Fed29.0%
flat4d
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Economics & Fed17.5%
flat71d
polymarket
ResearchWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed97.8%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.4% in October?
Economics & Fed0.2%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 3.7% in October?
Economics & Fed87.5%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed56.5%
flat171d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed78.5%
flat39d
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Economics & Fed0.9%
flat96d
polymarket
ResearchWill world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
Economics & Fed16.8%
flat67d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Economics & Fed3.5%
flat17h
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.5% and 4.0%?
Economics & Fed10.5%
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?
Economics & Fed2.9%
flat4d
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed98.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
Economics & Fed8.0%
flat4d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?
Economics & Fed6.9%
flat8d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
Economics & Fed22.4%
flat61d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Economics & Fed61.0%
flat88d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?
Economics & Fed2.3%
flat23d
polymarket
ResearchWill the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
Economics & Fed42.5%
flat130d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?
Economics & Fed7.0%
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?
Economics & Fed6.0%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Economics & Fed18.0%
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill annual inflation be 4.2% in October?
Economics & Fed0.4%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed81.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
Economics & Fed0.2%
flat83d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
Economics & Fed3.7%
flat130d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed17.0%
flat40d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed1.5%
flat52d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Economics & Fed1.5%
flat52d
polymarket
ResearchWill PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?
Economics & Fed12.5%
flat5d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat95d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed3.9%
flat40d
polymarket
ResearchWill China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Economics & Fed25.5%
flat17h
polymarket
ResearchBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed0.9%
flat39d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%?
Economics & Fed15.3%
flat8d
polymarket
ResearchWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Economics & Fed28.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
Economics & Fed0.8%
flat95d
polymarket
ResearchWill China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Economics & Fed2.5%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat95d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Economics & Fed90.5%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?
Economics & Fed20.5%
flat5d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Economics & Fed41.8%
flat70d
polymarket
ResearchWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?
Economics & Fed0.6%
flat4d
polymarket
ResearchWill US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Economics & Fed12.5%
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?
Economics & Fed0.3%
flat75d
polymarket
ResearchWill Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?
Economics & Fed3.9%
flat46h
polymarket
ResearchWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?
Economics & Fed0.4%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Economics & Fed8.9%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?
Economics & Fed46.9%
flat53d
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 8d | |
38.3% | ▼ -4.9 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
40.0% | ▼ -1.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 23d | |
6.8% | ▲ +0.4 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 96d | |
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 15.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 5d |
36.5% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1169d | |
27.9% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 419d | |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Economics & FedOpen → | 47.6% | ▼ -7.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 73d |
96.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 83d | |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.3% | ▼ -0.6 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 1.6% | ▼ -1.9 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d |
Will Polymarket IPO before 2028? Economics & FedOpen → | 38.3% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 418d |
US recession in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 4.2% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
62.1% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1514d | |
64.1% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | — | |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 10.5% | ▼ -0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
1.8% | ▲ +0.7 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 129d | |
73.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 80d | |
21.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d | |
52.0% | ▼ -1.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
90.3% | ▲ +19.4 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 63d | |
0.1% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
25.1% | ▼ -1.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 7d | |
46.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
16.0% | ▲ +0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 171d | |
7.5% | ▼ -29.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 63d | |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 43.0% | ▼ -3.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
45.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 9d | |
88.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 95d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 38d | |
76.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d | |
42.6% | ▲ +7.4 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 23d | |
0.1% | ▼ -0.7 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 15.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 16d |
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 31.1% | ▼ -15.2 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 67d |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Economics & FedOpen → | 17.9% | ▲ +9.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 73d |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.8% | ▼ -0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Japan recession in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 7.0% | ▼ -2.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 173d |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 87.5% | ▼ -3.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 1.4% | ▼ -1.4 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 4.7% | ▼ -4.7 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
6.5% | ▲ +2.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
53.5% | ▼ -2.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
19.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
1.4% | ▲ +0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 80d | |
15.0% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 30.0% | ▼ -0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 5d |
2.9% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 88d | |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 47.0% | ▲ +1.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
76.3% | ▼ -0.2 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
0.8% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 80d | |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 9.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 75.5% | ▼ -1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 78.5% | ▲ +14.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 22d |
4.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 80d | |
1.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 95d | |
2.1% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
29.5% | ▲ +0.4 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
1.7% | ▼ -0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
37.9% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 75d | |
1.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
18.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 80d | |
5.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 129d | |
0.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d | |
0.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d | |
9.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 171d | |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 5.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
45.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 73d | |
16.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 38d | |
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 2.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
53.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 129d | |
49.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
1.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 129d | |
Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
69.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
34.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 129d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
17.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 7d | |
Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
4.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
51.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 73d | |
86.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 38d | |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 31d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
2.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 83d | |
46.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4d | |
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 2.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
29.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4d | |
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Economics & FedOpen → | 17.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 71d |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 97.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 87.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
56.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 171d | |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d |
78.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 96d |
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | 16.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 67d |
3.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 17h | |
10.5% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d | |
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? Economics & FedOpen → | 2.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4d |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
98.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
8.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4d | |
6.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 8d | |
22.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 61d | |
61.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 88d | |
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d |
2.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 23d | |
42.5% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 130d | |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%? Economics & FedOpen → | 7.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d |
6.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h | |
18.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d | |
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
81.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 83d | |
3.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 130d | |
17.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 40d | |
1.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
1.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 12.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 5d |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 95d | |
3.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 40d | |
25.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 17h | |
0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 39d | |
15.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 8d | |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? Economics & FedOpen → | 28.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 95d |
2.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 95d | |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 90.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 20.5% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 5d |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.3% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? Economics & FedOpen → | 41.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 70d |
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.6% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4d |
12.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 75d | |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October? Economics & FedOpen → | 3.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 46h |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
8.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
46.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d |