Politics
Will the 2028 Democratic convention need more than one ballot to nominate a president?
Politics6.0%
flat691d
manifold
ResearchWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Politics38.6%
flat903d
manifold
ResearchWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Politics69.3%
▼ -3.9 pts804d
manifold
ResearchWill JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics36.8%
▼ -0.5 pts601d
manifold
ResearchWill over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Politics27.4%
flat1150d
manifold
ResearchWill Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
Politics85.6%
flat935d
manifold
ResearchWill there be a serious attempt by the GOP to overturn the election?
Politics5.1%
▲ +0.4 pts63d
manifold
ResearchWill the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
Politics67.0%
flat843d
manifold
ResearchWill AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Politics67.5%
flat—
manifold
ResearchWill Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Politics92.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics1.0%
▼ -1.0 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics18.5%
▼ -2.8 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Politics98.4%
▲ +0.2 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics0.1%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
polymarket
ResearchWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.3%
flat730d
polymarket
ResearchWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
manifoldpolymarket
ResearchWill Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
Politics42.6%
flat570d
manifold
ResearchWill Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
Politics52.9%
flat935d
manifold
ResearchWill the 2028 Republican convention need more than one ballot to nominate a president?
Politics3.0%
flat691d
manifold
ResearchPete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
Politics69.7%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Politics100.0%
▲ +77.5 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Politics1.2%
▲ +0.2 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Politics98.5%
▲ +0.5 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Politics66.5%
▼ -1.0 pts20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Politics1.5%
▼ -0.4 ptsClosed
manifoldpolymarket
ResearchWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics13.5%
▲ +1.0 pts161d
polymarket
ResearchWill National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics97.8%
▼ -0.9 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Politics54.3%
▲ +8.3 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Politics99.0%
▲ +1.0 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Politics78.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics2.3%
▲ +0.8 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Politics33.1%
flat20d
polymarket
ResearchWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Politics39.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Steve Bannon run for president in 2028 elections?
Politics7.0%
flat417d
manifold
ResearchWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 GOP Presidential nominee?
Politics19.0%
flat599d
manifold
ResearchWill Rand Paul win the 2028 GOP Presidential nominee?
Politics5.5%
flat630d
manifold
ResearchWill Rupert Lowe become UK prime minister before 2040?
Politics5.0%
flat—
manifold
ResearchWho will be Israel's next prime minister?!
Politics57.0%
flat52d
manifold
ResearchWill I think individual freedom of speech is lower on election day, 2028?
Politics49.2%
flat729d
manifold
ResearchWill the 2028 popular vote winner lose the presidential election?
Politics10.0%
flat730d
manifold
ResearchWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
Politics12.4%
flat730d
manifold
ResearchWill Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Politics1.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchTrump out as President before 2027?
Politics3.1%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Politics1.8%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Politics23.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Politics1.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics95.4%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Politics2.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Politics70.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Politics19.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Politics99.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics5.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Politics0.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
Politics95.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Politics99.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Politics4.5%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Politics0.4%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Zelensky remain president of Ukraine until the end of 2026?
Politics92.3%
flat53d
manifold
ResearchDemocrats win the House, Senate AND Presidency in 2028?
Politics64.9%
flat784d
manifold
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics100.0%
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics0.1%
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Politics99.8%
flatClosed
manifoldpolymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Politics1.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Politics99.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Politics0.6%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Politics97.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Politics4.9%
flat22d
manifold
ResearchWill Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics1.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Politics0.4%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics9.5%
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Politics69.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Politics1.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics1.7%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?
Politics0.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics13.5%
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?
Politics41.0%
flatClosed
Will Nate Silver be right about the Senate?
Politics18.3%
flatClosed
manifold
ResearchWill Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics3.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Politics1.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Politics1.3%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics0.1%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics15.8%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics71.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.1%
flat730d
polymarket
ResearchWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics0.1%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Politics0.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Politics42.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Politics26.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Politics6.5%
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Politics48.0%
flat85d
manifold
ResearchWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Politics0.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Politics100.0%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics13.5%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics0.9%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
Politics0.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
Politics0.8%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
Politics0.8%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics40.8%
flat161d
polymarket
ResearchWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Politics99.1%
flat53d
polymarket
ResearchWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Politics2.2%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Politics0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politics9.7%
flat509d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?
Politics13.5%
flatClosed
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 691d | |
38.6% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 903d | |
69.3% | ▼ -3.9 pts | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 804d | |
36.8% | ▼ -0.5 pts | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 601d | |
27.4% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1150d | |
85.6% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 935d | |
5.1% | ▲ +0.4 pts | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 63d | |
67.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 843d | |
67.5% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | — | |
92.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.0% | ▼ -1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
18.5% | ▼ -2.8 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
98.4% | ▲ +0.2 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
0.1% | flat | manifoldpolymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
42.6% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 570d | |
52.9% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 935d | |
3.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 691d | |
69.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
100.0% | ▲ +77.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.2% | ▲ +0.2 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
98.5% | ▲ +0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
66.5% | ▼ -1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 20d | |
1.5% | ▼ -0.4 pts | manifoldpolymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
13.5% | ▲ +1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
97.8% | ▼ -0.9 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
54.3% | ▲ +8.3 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.0% | ▲ +1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
78.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
2.3% | ▲ +0.8 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
33.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 20d | |
39.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
7.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 417d | |
19.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 599d | |
5.5% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 630d | |
5.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | — | |
57.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 52d | |
49.2% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 729d | |
10.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
12.4% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
1.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
3.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
1.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
23.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
95.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
2.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
70.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
19.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
5.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
95.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
4.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
92.3% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
64.9% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 784d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.8% | flat | manifoldpolymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
99.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.6% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
97.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
4.9% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 22d | |
1.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
9.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
69.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
13.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
41.0% | flat— | — | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
18.3% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
3.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
1.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
1.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
15.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
71.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 730d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
42.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
26.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
6.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
48.0% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 85d | |
0.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
100.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
13.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
0.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.8% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
40.8% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 161d | |
99.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 53d | |
2.2% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
9.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 509d | |
13.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |