Politics
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics0.1%
flat819d
manifoldpolymarket
ResearchIn 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Politics49.0%
flat510d
manifold
ResearchYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
Politics97.5%
flat38d
polymarket
ResearchWill AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Politics67.3%
flat5124d
manifold
ResearchWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.3%
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics0.3%
flat50d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics86.5%
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchTrump out as President by August 31?
Politics0.5%
▼ -0.1 pts21d
polymarket
ResearchWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.3%
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Politics0.7%
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics0.1%
▼ -0.1 pts819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics0.4%
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics0.1%
flat54d
polymarket
ResearchWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Politics0.5%
▲ +0.2 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics65.5%
▼ -3.0 pts50d
polymarket
Research🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Politics64.4%
▼ -0.1 pts54d
manifold
ResearchWill Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Politics59.5%
▲ +4.5 pts28h
polymarket
ResearchPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics—
flat262d
polymarket
ResearchWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics—
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics—
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics—
flat262d
polymarket
ResearchMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Politics—
flat145d
polymarket
ResearchWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics—
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchTrump out as President before 2027?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchTrump out as President by July 31?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics—
flat50d
polymarket
ResearchWill Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics—
flat262d
polymarket
ResearchWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics—
flat50d
polymarket
ResearchGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Politics—
flat3d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Politics—
flat112d
manifold
ResearchWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Politics—
flat3d
polymarket
ResearchWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchPutin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Politics—
flat143d
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Politics—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics—
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics—
flat819d
polymarket
ResearchWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics—
flat54d
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Politics—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Politics—
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Politics—
flat3d
polymarket
ResearchWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Politics—
flat85d
manifold
ResearchWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics—
flat262d
polymarket
ResearchWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics—
flat262d
polymarket
Research2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Politics—
flat84d
polymarket
ResearchWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Politics—
flat7d
polymarket
ResearchWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Politics—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Politics—
flat4h
polymarket
ResearchPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Politics—
flat143d
polymarket
ResearchWill Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Politics—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Politics—
flat50d
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.1% | flat | manifoldpolymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
49.0% | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 510d | |
97.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 38d | |
67.3% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 5124d | |
0.3% | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d | |
86.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
0.5% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
0.3% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
0.7% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 7d | |
0.1% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
0.4% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 54d | |
0.5% | ▲ +0.2 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
65.5% | ▼ -3.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d | |
64.4% | ▼ -0.1 pts | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 54d | |
59.5% | ▲ +4.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 28h | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 262d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 262d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 145d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 262d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 3d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
— | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 112d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 3d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 143d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 819d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 54d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 3d | |
— | flat— | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 85d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 262d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 262d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 84d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 7d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 4h | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 143d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d |