Tech & Science

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

LLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will a rogue AI kill a human before 2030?

Will Australia loosen copyright laws to allow AI model training by EOY 2027?

In early 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

PMF or Die (AI Forecasting Edition)

Will USA break its continuous human presence in outer space before 2040?

Will AI revenues be greater than $500 billion by end of 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be in ARTIFICIAL, the movie about OpenAI and the firing and rehiring of Sam Altman

Will OpenAI discover a room temp superconductor in 2026?

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

Will an AI do Magic before EOY 2027? [See description]

Will AI progress slow down before July 2027 due to an agreement to 'pace the frontier'?

Will I get a job at Tesla?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

In 2028, will a commercial AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?

Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Tesla announce on October 1, 2026 that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in under 1 second?

Will Trump have a national address this week and call certain aspects of the AI race an imminent threat to humanity?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Nvidia closes at $210.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026?

SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

OpenAI flips Apple before 2030?

Will an AI model generate a major novel physics theory that is experimentally confirmed by the end of 2037?

Will an AI Safety tweet get >1 million likes by the end of 2026?

Will Apple fix its IP address leaks before 2028?

OpenAI is sued over Navier-Stokes?

Will the United States pass federal legislation regulating AI in 2026?

Will SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?

[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Is there another OpenAI hack which is not publicly known yet?

AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?

OpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?

Will an emergency service provider be sued because of an AI system by eoy2027?

Will I solve an unsolved math problem with AI in September?

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 2?

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?