World Events

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
World Events
16.5%
Single
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
World Events
6.5%
Single
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
World Events
14.5%
Single
-4.0 pts50d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
World Events
3.8%
Single
-0.5 pts20d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
World Events
4.5%
Single
-1.0 pts142d
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
World Events
24.5%
Single
+4.0 pts143d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
World Events
3.4%
Single
-1.1 pts20d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
World Events
0.5%
Single
-0.4 pts8d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
World Events
1.7%
Single
-0.1 ptsClosed
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
World Events
1.4%
Single
-0.7 pts21d
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
World Events
9.5%
Single
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
World Events
93.5%
Single
+2.0 ptsClosed
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
World Events
95.5%
Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
World Events
2.1%
Single
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
World Events
46.5%
Single
-5.0 pts142d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
World Events
99.9%
Single
+0.3 ptsClosed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
World Events
4.0%
Single
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
World Events
5.5%
Single
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Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
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Single
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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
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Single
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
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Single
flatClosed
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
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Single
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Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
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Single
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Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
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Single
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Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
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Single
flatClosed
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
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Single
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Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
flat81d
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
flat81d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
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Single
flatClosed
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
flat81d
Will Trump finish his second term?
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Single
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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
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Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
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Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
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Single
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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
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Single
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Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
flat81d
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
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Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
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Single
flatClosed
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
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Single
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Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
World Events
Single
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Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
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Single
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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
World Events
Single
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Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
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Single
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Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
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Single
flatClosed
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?
World Events
Single
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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
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Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
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Single
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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
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Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
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Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
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Single
flat50d
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Single
flat81d
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Iran leadership change by August 31?
World Events
Single
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Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
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Single
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US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
World Events
Single
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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
World Events
Single
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
World Events
Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
World Events
Single
flat51d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
flat51d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
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Single
flatClosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
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Single
flatClosed
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?
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Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
World Events
Single
flat142d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
flat21d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
World Events
Single
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Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
World Events
Single
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
World Events
Single
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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
World Events
Single
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
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Single
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Iran leadership change by December 31?
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Single
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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
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Single
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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
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Single
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Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
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Single
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Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
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Single
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
World Events
Single
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
World Events
Single
flat21d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
World Events
Single
flat142d
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
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Single
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Xi Jinping out before 2027?
World Events
Single
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Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
Single
flat81d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
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Single
flatClosed
Iran leadership change by July 31?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
Iran leadership change by December 31?
World Events
Single
flat142d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
World Events
Single
flatClosed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
World Events
Single
flat51d
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
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Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
World Events
Single
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
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Single
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Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
World Events
Single
flat143d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
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Single
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
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Single
flatClosed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
World Events
Single
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