Markets/open

πŸ‡§πŸ‡· President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado Γ© presidente em janeiro de 2027

SkipSeek Fair Probability
60.8%
1 sources
Confidence
Single source
Closes
54d
Venues
1
Forecasts

Your forecast

My Forecasts β†’

Set your probability that this market resolves YES. Forecasts are scored by calibration (Brier) when the market settles and build your public SkipSeek Score β€” data and a track record, not trade advice.

Sign in and choose a forecasting handle to submit forecasts and build a public track record.

Unlock the full analysis for this market
  • β†’Source comparison β€” every venue’s price, spread, liquidity and quality side by side
  • β†’Probability Gap by venue β€” which venue is priced above or below fair value, and by how many points
  • β†’Fair Probability history β€” how the consensus has moved over time
  • β†’Cited, source-backed research β€” what the market is pricing and why
Execution

Where to act on this

ManifoldHigh liq.
Price vs Fair Research
Open market β†’
60.8%
SkipSeek Fair
Single source

This market is listed because at least one venue’s price differs from the SkipSeek Fair Probability. The figures above are data, not a recommendation β€” you decide independently whether a market looks mispriced.

Execution notes
  • β€’Closes in 54d.
  • β€’Single venue β€” no cross-market comparison yet.
  • β€’High liquidity on the deepest venue.
How this works
  1. SkipSeek compares equivalent markets across venues.
  2. It estimates a normalized SkipSeek Fair Probability.
  3. Differences from that fair value are shown as Probability Gaps.
  4. You review the evidence and decide independently whether a market looks under- or over-priced.
  5. You place any trade directly on your chosen platform β€” SkipSeek is research and data, never a broker or advice.