Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
SkipSeek Fair Probability
0.1%
1 sources
Confidence
Single source
Closes
closed
Venues
1
Forecasts
Your forecast
Set your probability that this market resolves YES. Forecasts are scored by calibration (Brier) when the market settles and build your public SkipSeek Score — data and a track record, not trade advice.
Forecasting is closed for this market.
Unlock the full analysis for this market
- →Source comparison — every venue’s price, spread, liquidity and quality side by side
- →Probability Gap by venue — which venue is priced above or below fair value, and by how many points
- →Fair Probability history — how the consensus has moved over time
- →Cited, source-backed research — what the market is pricing and why
Execution
Where to act on this
0.1%
SkipSeek Fair
This market is listed because at least one venue’s price differs from the SkipSeek Fair Probability. The figures above are data, not a recommendation — you decide independently whether a market looks mispriced.
Execution notes
- •Market has closed.
- •Single venue — no cross-market comparison yet.
- •High liquidity on the deepest venue.
How this works
- SkipSeek compares equivalent markets across venues.
- It estimates a normalized SkipSeek Fair Probability.
- Differences from that fair value are shown as Probability Gaps.
- You review the evidence and decide independently whether a market looks under- or over-priced.
- You place any trade directly on your chosen platform — SkipSeek is research and data, never a broker or advice.