Polymarket

Market	Fair	24h	Venues	Cross-spread	Top gap	Confidence	Closes
Michigan State vs. Michigan SportsOpen →	54.4%	flat—	skipoddspolymarket	Research	Research	Medium	Closed
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	40.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Economics & FedOpen →	47.5%	▲ +2.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	10.5%	▼ -1.9 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	36.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	16d
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Economics & FedOpen →	96.2%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	83d
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Economics & FedOpen →	50.0%	▼ -4.7 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	73d
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	13.5%	▼ -3.8 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	5d
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	0.6%	▼ -0.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Economics & FedOpen →	0.1%	▼ -0.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? World EventsOpen →	5.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	418d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	15.0%	▼ -1.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	171d
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? World EventsOpen →	32.5%	▲ +10.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	22d
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? World EventsOpen →	100.0%	▲ +21.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 2-8? CryptoOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? World EventsOpen →	45.5%	▲ +12.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? World EventsOpen →	99.9%	▲ +1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Iran leadership change by December 31? World EventsOpen →	7.5%	▼ -1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? PoliticsOpen →	92.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? World EventsOpen →	13.5%	▼ -5.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	22d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	77.5%	▲ +4.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	80d
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo SportsOpen →	41.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? PoliticsOpen →	98.8%	▲ +0.8 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Nets vs. Mavericks SportsOpen →	26.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	18.7%	▼ -2.2 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? PoliticsOpen →	98.5%	▲ +0.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? World EventsOpen →	9.5%	▼ -1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? World EventsOpen →	100.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	76.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	31d
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? PoliticsOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	161d
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? World EventsOpen →	65.5%	▲ +15.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	20d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? World EventsOpen →	2.1%	▼ -0.2 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? PoliticsOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	730d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? PoliticsOpen →	0.3%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	730d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? PoliticsOpen →	0.1%	flat	manifoldpolymarket	Research	Research	Single	730d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? Economics & FedOpen →	6.6%	▲ +0.2 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	96d
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	15.6%	▼ -22.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	75d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	18.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	80d
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? World EventsOpen →	31.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? Economics & FedOpen →	40.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	23d
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	21.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Economics & FedOpen →	0.1%	▼ -0.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	43.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Spread: 49ers (-9.5) SportsOpen →	48.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? World EventsOpen →	39.5%	▼ -4.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	22d
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? PoliticsOpen →	71.2%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	40.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? PoliticsOpen →	1.1%	▼ -0.9 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? World EventsOpen →	91.5%	▲ +12.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	7d
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar SportsOpen →	65.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? Economics & FedOpen →	35.0%	▲ +5.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	5d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	53.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Lakers vs. Pistons SportsOpen →	28.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? Economics & FedOpen →	13.0%	▼ -16.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Iran leadership change by November 30? World EventsOpen →	2.4%	▼ -1.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	22d
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	30.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	16d
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	0.1%	▼ -0.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	75d
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	2.6%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	53.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	129d
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? World EventsOpen →	94.0%	▲ +12.7 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? Economics & FedOpen →	14.9%	▼ -7.6 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	23d
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? PoliticsOpen →	100.0%	▲ +77.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	60.5%	flat—	skipoddspolymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? World EventsOpen →	4.0%	▼ -2.4 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	7d
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) SportsOpen →	19.7%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	35.5%	▲ +1.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	129d
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? PoliticsOpen →	1.2%	▲ +0.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Dota 2: PlayTime vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8? CryptoOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 8? CryptoOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
76ers vs. Bulls SportsOpen →	78.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	22.5%	▲ +1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	31d
Orleans: Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier SportsOpen →	75.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? PoliticsOpen →	66.5%	▼ -1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	20d
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	37.0%	▼ -12.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	39d
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? PoliticsOpen →	1.5%	▼ -0.2 pts	manifoldpolymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Economics & FedOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	51.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	61.5%	▼ -17.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	39d
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? PoliticsOpen →	13.5%	▲ +1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	161d
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) SportsOpen →	47.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Panthers vs. Bruins SportsOpen →	41.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? SportsOpen →	24.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
AI bubble burst in 2026? Tech & ScienceOpen →	7.8%	▲ +0.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SportsOpen →	15.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	46.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	33.6%	▲ +2.4 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	67d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? World EventsOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	34h
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	29.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? World EventsOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	34h
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? World EventsOpen →	11.2%	▼ -0.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	60d
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be at least 0.6%? Economics & FedOpen →	4.3%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	21d
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	6.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	9d
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be less than -0.2%? Economics & FedOpen →	14.0%	▼ -1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	21d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	14.5%	flat—	skipoddspolymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel SportsOpen →	55.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? Economics & FedOpen →	0.8%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	8d
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	53.3%	▲ +2.1 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	73d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? World EventsOpen →	58.5%	▲ +1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	51.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? World EventsOpen →	99.4%	▲ +0.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko SportsOpen →	45.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? World EventsOpen →	34.1%	▼ -6.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Spread: Texans (-5.5) SportsOpen →	49.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz SportsOpen →	22.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	47.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? PoliticsOpen →	97.8%	▼ -0.9 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Spread: Bengals (-3.5) SportsOpen →	46.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	29.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	10.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Economics & FedOpen →	1.6%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	50.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	0.3%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Economics & FedOpen →	91.5%	▲ +20.5 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	63d
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	42.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	100.0%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET CryptoOpen →	4.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting? Economics & FedOpen →	1.8%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	129d
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET CryptoOpen →	74.5%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	32.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? World EventsOpen →	95.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	53d
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? PoliticsOpen →	54.3%	▲ +8.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	4.3%	▼ -0.4 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET CryptoOpen →	0.1%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? PoliticsOpen →	99.0%	▲ +1.0 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SportsOpen →	0.1%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	1.1%	▼ -0.3 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET CryptoOpen →	100.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	9.3%	▼ -6.4 pts	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	16d
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? Economics & FedOpen →	53.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	9d
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Economics & FedOpen →	15.0%	flat	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	418d
Spread: Rams (-4.5) SportsOpen →	49.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat SportsOpen →	82.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	6d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? SportsOpen →	47.5%	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed