Polymarket

exchange · reliability 85%

US recession by end of 2026?
Economics & Fed
9.7%
Medium
flat128d
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.3%
Single
flat35d
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Economics & Fed
5.9%
Single
▲ +0.1 pts128d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
16.5%
Single
flat98d
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 24?
Crypto
1.6%
Single
flat4h
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
8.5%
Single
▼ -22.0 pts42d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?
Crypto
94.8%
Single
flat16h
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Politics
97.8%
Single
flat371d
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?
Crypto
60.5%
Single
flat6d
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics
69.5%
Single
flat39d
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
World Events
68.0%
Single
flat463d
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Politics
70.5%
Single
flat—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
31.5%
Single
flat125d
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
World Events
0.4%
Single
flat6d
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Politics
26.5%
Single
flat39d
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Politics
0.1%
Single
flat6d
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
World Events
85.5%
Single
▼ -2.0 pts6d
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Crypto
7.3%
Single
▼ -1.1 pts98d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
World Events
96.0%
Single
flat6d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
Crypto
0.8%
Single
flat6d
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed
1.7%
Single
flat98d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
World Events
61.7%
Single
▼ -0.2 pts98d
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Politics
4.7%
Single
flat40d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
26.5%
Single
▼ -1.0 pts76d
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
World Events
7.1%
Single
▲ +0.9 pts98d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
World Events
22.5%
Single
▲ +2.0 pts98d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.5%
Single
flat34d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
World Events
0.4%
Single
▼ -0.2 pts6d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
World Events
3.8%
Single
flat98d
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics
62.5%
Single
flat102d
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Politics
7.5%
Single
flat39d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
World Events
14.5%
Single
▲ +1.0 pts98d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics
0.1%
Single
flat775d
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics
0.1%
Single
flat10d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics
0.1%
Single
flat775d
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Politics
30.5%
Single
flat—
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics
0.1%
Single
flat774d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?
Crypto
1.7%
Single
flat16h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
World Events
0.1%
Single
▼ -1.7 pts16h
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
0.1%
Single
flat42d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
World Events
3.6%
Single
▲ +0.1 pts98d
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)
Sports
44.5%
Single
—
flat43h
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Economics & Fed
90.5%
Single
flat128d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sports
39.5%
Single
—
flat7d
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
Sports
62.5%
Single
—
flatClosed
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
World Events
19.0%
Single
flat98d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Sports
46.5%
Single
—
flat7d
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
Sports
41.5%
Single
—
flatClosed
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Sports
61.5%
Single
—
flat7d
Hawai'i vs. Wyoming
Sports
—
Single
—
flat43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat37d
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat128d
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat20d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat6d
Rams vs. Broncos
Sports
—
Single
—
flat3d
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Sports
—
Single
—
flat19h
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat125d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat6d
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat6d
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat97d
San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat24h
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat128d
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat20d
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Greece win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio
Sports
—
Single
—
flat5d
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group D
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Spread: Schalke 04 (-1.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Buenos Aires 2: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat129d
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat26d
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat112d
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat35d
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat52d
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat33d
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat141d
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat188d
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flat20d
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat98d
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat4d
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat29d
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat16h
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat97d
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Sports
—
Single
—
flat5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Dota 2: Cake Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flat3d
LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis - Game 3 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat6d
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flat3d
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Texas A&M vs. LSU
Sports
—
Single
—
flat47h
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Tech & Science
—
Single
—
flat6d
Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Sports
—
Single
—
flat5d
Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 24?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
M25 Falun: Andreja Petrovic vs Lucas Renard
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Plovdiv 4: Jonas Forejtek vs Maxime Chazal
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Iliyan Radulov
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Ankara: Deniz Dilek vs Cagla Buyukakcay
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Commodities
—
Single
—
flat6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10AM ET
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat6d
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Sports
—
Single
—
flat7d
Dota 2: Daxak Team vs gpk Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat6d
Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Barbora Palicova
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ET
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
St. Tropez: Edas Butvilas vs Harold Mayot
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
Dota 2: Two Move vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
Porto: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Harmony Tan
Sports
—
Single
—
flat5d