Markets
What’s happening across every tracked prediction market right now.
Live markets
3,253
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
▼ -3.0 pts
Highest confidence
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
Medium · 69
Widest disagreement
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Most covered
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
2 venues
Trending now
The most active markets
Fastest rising
Largest 24h gains in Fair Probability
Fastest falling
Largest 24h declines in Fair Probability
Highest confidence
Best-supported consensus right now
Closing soon
Resolving in the near term
Largest probability gaps
Where venues most disagree — a Gap, never an “edge.”
All markets
154 filtered · page 5 of 7US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
World Events—
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
World Events—
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
World Events—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events—
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events—
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events—
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
World Events—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
World Events—
flat—
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
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— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
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SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? World EventsOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
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— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
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— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
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— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
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— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d | |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? World EventsOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? World EventsOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | — | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
Continue exploring
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