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3,225
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
● 0.0 pts
Most covered
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
2 venues
Trending now
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economics & Fed58.5%
▲ +4.0 pts120d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?
Economics & Fed0.1%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Economics & Fed40.7%
flat1259d
manifold
ResearchBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Economics & Fed34.7%
▼ -0.7 pts509d
manifold
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed1.5%
▼ -0.6 pts36d
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Economics & Fed—
flat36d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat36d
polymarket
ResearchS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat36d
polymarket
ResearchWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics & Fed—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flat36d
polymarket
ResearchBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Economics & Fed—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
58.5% | ▲ +4.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 120d | |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? Economics & FedOpen → | 0.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
40.7% | flat | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 1259d | |
34.7% | ▼ -0.7 pts | manifold | Research | Research | Single | 509d | |
1.5% | ▼ -0.6 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 36d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 36d | |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 36d | |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 36d | |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Economics & FedOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 36d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
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