Markets
What’s happening across every tracked prediction market right now.
Live markets
3,225
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
● 0.0 pts
Most covered
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
2 venues
Trending now
The most active markets
Closing soon
Resolving in the near term
All markets
153 filtered · page 1 of 7FeaturedSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingleSingle—Single—Single—Single—Single—Single—Single—
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
World Events0.5%
flat8d
polymarket
ResearchStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
World Events14.5%
▼ -4.0 pts50d
polymarket
ResearchBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
World Events3.8%
▼ -0.5 pts20d
polymarket
ResearchWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
World Events4.5%
▼ -1.0 pts142d
polymarket
ResearchWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
World Events6.5%
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
World Events2.1%
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
World Events1.7%
▼ -0.1 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchIran invades Kuwait by August 31?
World Events1.4%
▼ -0.7 pts21d
polymarket
ResearchClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
World Events24.5%
▲ +4.0 pts143d
polymarket
ResearchWill GameStop acquire eBay?
World Events9.5%
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
World Events93.5%
▲ +2.5 ptsClosed
polymarket
ResearchUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
World Events95.0%
flat21d
polymarket
ResearchStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
World Events3.4%
▼ -1.1 pts20d
polymarket
ResearchIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
World Events99.9%
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
World Events4.0%
flat51d
polymarket
ResearchStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
World Events46.5%
▼ -4.0 pts142d
polymarket
ResearchWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
World Events16.5%
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
World Events5.5%
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
World Events—
flatClosed
polymarket
ResearchWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
World Events—
flat507d
polymarket
ResearchWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events—
flat142d
polymarket
ResearchWill Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events—
flat81d
polymarket
ResearchWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
World Events—
flat142d
polymarket
Research| Market | Fair | 24h | Venues | Cross-spread | Top gap | Confidence | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 8d | |
14.5% | ▼ -4.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 50d | |
3.8% | ▼ -0.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 20d | |
4.5% | ▼ -1.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? World EventsOpen → | 6.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
2.1% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
1.7% | ▼ -0.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? World EventsOpen → | 1.4% | ▼ -0.7 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d |
24.5% | ▲ +4.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 143d | |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? World EventsOpen → | 9.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? World EventsOpen → | 93.5% | ▲ +2.5 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed |
95.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 21d | |
3.4% | ▼ -1.1 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 20d | |
99.9% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
4.0% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 51d | |
46.5% | ▼ -4.0 pts | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? World EventsOpen → | 16.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
5.5% | flat | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | Closed | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 507d | |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d | |
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? World EventsOpen → | — | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 81d |
— | flat— | polymarket | Research | Research | Single | 142d |
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