Markets

Market	Fair	24h	Venues	Cross-spread	Top gap	Confidence	Closes
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	145d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	819d
Trump out as President before 2027? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Trump out as President by July 31? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	50d
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	262d
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	50d
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	manifold	Research	Research	Single	112d
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	3d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	142d
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	143d
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	84d
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? PoliticsOpen →	—	flat—	polymarket	Research	Research	Single	Closed

Continue exploring

Recently published research

Politics· 7m ago

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

64.4%Single source

Evidence pendingRead →

Tech & Science· 7m ago

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

53.6%Single source

Evidence pendingRead →

Economics & Fed· 7m ago

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

40.7%Single source

Evidence pendingRead →

Cross-market discrepancies →Movers →Research →Methodology →