Markets

What’s happening across every tracked prediction market right now.

Live markets
3,235
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
▲ +7.0 pts
Highest confidence
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Medium · 71
Widest disagreement
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Research
Most covered
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
2 venues

Trending now

The most active markets

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Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
47.1%
Fair Probability
71
Research
skipoddspolymarket
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Sports2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
52.5%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
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Sports1h
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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Sports7d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
52.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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World Events142d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed36d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1.6%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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World Events142d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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World Events20d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.4%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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Fastest rising

Largest 24h gains in Fair Probability

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Tech & Science—
AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
45.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events142d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics7d
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
0.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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Politicsclosed
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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Fastest falling

Largest 24h declines in Fair Probability

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World Events50d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
14.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
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World Events142d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events20d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.4%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed509d
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
34.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
Tech & Science21d
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
2.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events21d
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
1.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed36d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1.6%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Tech & Science509d
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
29.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →

Highest confidence

Best-supported consensus right now

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Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
47.1%
Fair Probability
71
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
52.5%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

Closing soon

Resolving in the near term

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World Events0h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports0h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
10.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports1h
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports1h
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
52.5%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports2h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
48.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports3h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Crypto4h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 10?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Largest probability gaps

Where venues most disagree — a Gap, never an “edge.”

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Sports2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
52.5%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
47.1%
Fair Probability
71
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Politics819d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifoldpolymarket
View market →
Sports0h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
10.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
28.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
49.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports2h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
48.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

All markets

154 filtered · page 3 of 7
AllPolitics16Economics & Fed12Sports717Crypto193World Events57Tech & Science5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat—
polymarket
Research
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat21d
polymarket
Research
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Iran leadership change by December 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
—Research
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat50d
polymarket
Research
Iran leadership change by August 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat20d
polymarket
Research
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat143d
polymarket
Research

Continue exploring

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Politics· 1m ago
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Cross-market discrepancies →Movers →Research →Methodology →