Markets

What’s happening across every tracked prediction market right now.

Live markets
3,259
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
▼ -3.0 pts
Highest confidence
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Medium · 71
Widest disagreement
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Research
Most covered
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
2 venues

Trending now

The most active markets

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Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
73.1%
Fair Probability
55
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
48.3%
Fair Probability
68
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
58.4%
Fair Probability
71
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics21d
Trump out as President by August 31?
0.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-10?
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events50d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
14.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports324d
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
3.8%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Fastest rising

Largest 24h gains in Fair Probability

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World Events142d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politicsclosed
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Eventsclosed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
1.9%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics7d
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
0.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Fastest falling

Largest 24h declines in Fair Probability

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World Events50d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
14.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events142d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events20d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Tech & Science21d
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
2.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events21d
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
1.3%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed509d
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
34.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events8d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
0.4%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed36d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1.6%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Highest confidence

Best-supported consensus right now

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Sportsclosed
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
58.4%
Fair Probability
71
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
48.3%
Fair Probability
68
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
73.1%
Fair Probability
55
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

Closing soon

Resolving in the near term

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Sports1h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto2h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 10?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto2h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 10?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports3h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?
1.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 11?
99.8%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics22h
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →

Largest probability gaps

Where venues most disagree — a Gap, never an “edge.”

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Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
73.1%
Fair Probability
55
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
48.3%
Fair Probability
68
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Politics819d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifoldpolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
28.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm
48.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
0.2%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
0.3%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

All markets

152 filtered · page 6 of 7
AllPolitics16Economics & Fed16Sports710Commodities3Crypto189Weather1World Events56Tech & Science9
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat81d
polymarket
Research
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat142d
polymarket
Research

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