Markets

What’s happening across every tracked prediction market right now.

Live markets
3,262
tracked across venues
Biggest mover
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
▼ -3.0 pts
Highest confidence
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
Medium · 66
Widest disagreement
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Research
Most covered
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
2 venues

Trending now

The most active markets

View all →
Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
74.5%
Fair Probability
43
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
32.7%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Commodities202d
CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
97.3%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events51d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
58.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events21d
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
94.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Eventsclosed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics142d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
32.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics3d
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
0.9%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Fastest rising

Largest 24h gains in Fair Probability

View all →
World Events142d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Eventsclosed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
1.8%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Politicsclosed
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Fastest falling

Largest 24h declines in Fair Probability

View all →
World Events50d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
14.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events142d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Tech & Science21d
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
2.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events21d
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
1.3%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed509d
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
34.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifold
View market →
World Events20d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
World Events8d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
0.4%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Economics & Fed36d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1.7%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →

Highest confidence

Best-supported consensus right now

View all →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
32.7%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
74.5%
Fair Probability
43
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

Closing soon

Resolving in the near term

View all →
Crypto1h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 10?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto1h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 10?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports2h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
100.0%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Sports11h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
76.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 11?
99.9%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?
1.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
polymarket
View market →
Crypto13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →
Politics21h
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
—
Fair Probability
·
—Research
polymarket
View market →

Largest probability gaps

Where venues most disagree — a Gap, never an “edge.”

View all →
Sports7d
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
74.5%
Fair Probability
43
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
32.7%
Fair Probability
66
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Politics819d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
manifoldpolymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm
18.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
65.5%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sportsclosed
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →
Sports7d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
0.1%
Fair Probability
·
Research
skipoddspolymarket
View market →

All markets

3,262 markets · page 8 of 8
AllPolitics18Economics & Fed15Sports675Commodities3Crypto217WeatherWorld Events62Tech & Science10
Brownsburg: Gauthier Onclin vs Yi Zhou
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
polymarket
Research
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat51d
polymarket
Research
Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Spread: CF América (-1.5)
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat21d
polymarket
Research
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will CD Limache win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flat21d
polymarket
Research
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flat21d
polymarket
Research
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-08?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs St. Lucia Kings
Sports
—
Single
—
flat6d
polymarket
Research
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 9?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Crypto
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
World Events
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-09?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research
Will San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
Sports
—
Single
—
flatClosed
polymarket
Research

Continue exploring

Recently published research
Weather· 1m ago
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
8.8%Single source
Evidence pendingRead →
Tech & Science· 1m ago
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
53.6%Single source
Evidence pendingRead →
Tech & Science· 1m ago
Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?
69.0%Single source
Evidence pendingRead →
Cross-market discrepancies →Movers →Research →Methodology →